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NEW QUESTION: 1
Jean Sims, CFA and Ellie Hayes, CFA are advisors for Eagle Fixed Income Investors. Eagle makes recommendations on bonds, mortgages, and other fixed income investments for wealthy individuals and institutions.
Eagle has a client, Parker Portfolio Managers, which has a large holding of mortgages. Due to a projected decline in the housing market in the United States, the yields on mortgages are expected to increase over the next year. The largest mortgage position for Parker is currently priced at 98.80. Given the projected increase in yields, Sims has calculated an expected price of the mortgage of 95.50 in one year. For the same magnitude of yield change, she projects a price of 101.20 if yields instead fall. Hayes states that Parker should hedge the mortgage by shorting a 10-year Treasury bond futures contract.
Discussing the performance of mortgages in general with Parker officers, Hayes states that they are market directional investments. Hayes's reasoning is that mortgages tend to follow the general direction of the fixed income market, where mortgages should be avoided when interest rates are expected to rise and favored when they are expected to fall.
Commenting on hedging mortgages in general, Sims states that a two Treasury bond futures hedge is usually more effective than a single Treasury bond futures hedge. Furthermore, she states, a mortgage can be hedged dynamically by adjusting the hedge through time, or by buying interest rate options. An option hedge would be used when its implied volatility is low, she states.
Examining the Parker portfolio in more detail, Sims gathers the following details on mortgages they hold.
Later that day Sims and Hayes discuss the appropriate hedging of mortgages and make the following statements:
* Sims: "To hedge the duration exposure of a mortgage and maintain a constant duration, the investor should sell Treasury bond futures when interest rates fall and buy Treasury bond futures when interest rates rise."
* Hayes: "Mortgage investors face model risk where using a poor model increases the investor's risk. For example, if prepayments increase faster than expected, the investor faces greater risk. Unfortunately, there is no easy way to hedge model risk." Examining the properties of principal only (PO) and interest only (10) strips, Sims determines that the key rate durations for a client's PO strip are negative before year 8 but turn positive thereafter. The client's 10 strip has key rate durations that are positive up until year 10 but turn negative thereafter. Overall, the duration is positive for the PO strip and negative for the 10 strip. Sims is examining the effect of a yield curve change on the mortgages. Her assumption is that the short end of the yield curve increases while the Long end of the curve is unchanged.
Regarding comments of Sims and Hayes on hedging mortgages and model risk, are the comments correct?
A. Only Hayes is correct.
B. Both Sims and Hayes are correct.
C. Only Sims is correct.
Answer: A
Explanation:
Explanation/Reference:
Explanation:
Sims is incorrect. When interest races decline, the duration of a mortgage declines due to its negative convexity. Or looking at it another way, the mortgage's effective maturity and duration shorten as prepayment becomes more likely. So the investor would buy Treasury bond futures when interest rates fall to maintain a constant duration. The investor would sell Treasury bond futures when interest rates rise because the duration of mortgages increases as its convexity turns positive when interest rates rise.
Hayes is correct. Model risk increases the investor's risk, for example, when prepayments increase faster than a model predicts. The failure of a model cannot be hedged but the investor should assess a models success after the fact and check the sensitivity of the model to changes in inputs before the fact. For example, the investor could determine how a change in prepayments would affect mortgage value under different scenarios. (Study Session 10, LOS 32.b)
NEW QUESTION: 2
Prior to employment, _________ as well as terms & conditions of employment are included as controls in ISO
27002 to ensure that employees and contractors understand their responsibilities and are suitable for the roles for which they are considered.
A. authorizing
B. screening
C. controlling
D. flexing
Answer: B
NEW QUESTION: 3
Which TWO of the following items should be accomplished, when interviewing candidates for a position within an organization?
A. Hire an investigation agency to run background checks.
B. Run criminal-background checks.
C. Question candidates, using polygraphs.
D. Verify all dates of previous employment.
E. Contact personal and professional references.
Answer: D,E
NEW QUESTION: 4
Ned is an HR professional for his organization and he's analyzing how employees complete certain tasks on the assembly line. There have been some complaints and claims over the past few months of repetitive stress injuries and cumulative trauma injuries to employees on the assembly line. Ned is examining how the work is completed and looking for unnatural body movements by the workers. What is Ned actually studying?
A. Ergonomics
B. Mitigation
C. OSHA compliance
D. Job shadowing
Answer: A
Explanation:
Reference: Professional in Human Resources Certification Guide, Sybex, ISBN: 978-0470-43096-5. Chapter 5: Human Resource Development. Official PHR and SPHR Certification Guide, HR Certification Institute, ISBN: 978-1-586-44149-4, Section III, The US Body of Knowledge.
Chapter: Risk Management
Objective: Risk Assessment